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April 21, 2004

Storm Chase

Central Oklahoma

Editor:  Putnam E. Reiter

Forecast/Setup -

Risk Area:  Moderate - 10% hatched area on tornado graphic
Initial Target Area:  Anadarko, Oklahoma

A strong Canadian cold front moved through the region around April 12th.  This surface feature went through the Gulf with a 1035 surface high settling to near Brownsville.  While the surface high moved east and return flow started a few days later, the high held on to the Gulf until the 20th.  Early on the 20th true Gulf moisture started northward and set the stage for a rather active weather week.

Aloft a broad longwave trof developed across the central U.S. with periodic shortwave trofs moving through the mean flow.  A surface cold front moved to northern Oklahoma Tuesday morning.  Tuesday afternoon severe thunderstorms developed across much of eastern Oklahoma in response to moisture return and mid-level support.  While a few tornado warnings were issued, none have been confirmed.  With the strong convection Tuesday night the cold front moved south into southern Oklahoma.

Models progged this feature to moved rapidly north on Wednesday as the surface low reformed west into NW Texas in response to another shortwave trof moving toward the region.  The dryline was progged to move to near central Oklahoma by late afternoon with the warm front in far northern Oklahoma.  Mid-level winds were favorable for severe thunderstorms and supercells, however surface speeds were weaker than Tuesday.

Initially we had a tough time deciding our target area.  SPC outlooks and other NWS data helped.  We eventually decided on Anadarko, going with the dryline.  Early Wednesday morning clouds persisted until 12:30pm across much of central Oklahoma.  The clouds put central Oklahoma a few degrees behind the rest of the state.  Despite these clouds, temperatures warmed into the mid-70s resulting in CAPE values around 2500 J/Kg.  The 18z Norman sounding revealed that the cap was a little stronger and would hold down convection until mid-afternoon.

The cap did break, around 15:45, as two storm clusters developed.  One was south of El Reno and the other south of Chickasha.  The first area developed into one storm and moved east-northeast across Oklahoma City.  The second area developed into three individual storms as they moved east from Chickasha.  Rapid convective development continued across much of Oklahoma by 16:30 with some storms moving due north and others moving east.  This resulted in storm mergers and inflow disruption.  The only confirmed tornado was in western Oklahoma.  The Oklahoma City storm was a prolific hail producer, as noted by the pictures below.

Severe thunderstorms develop once again on Thursday in a similar synoptic pattern.  The main difference was that the surface boundaries remained across mainly eastern Oklahoma.  Several confirmed tornadoes occurred near Tulsa in a region that was probably favored by a leftover mesolow that backed the surface winds and increased 0-1km helicity.  Also, CAPE values were higher this day with 3600 J/Kg noted across southeast Oklahoma by mid-afternoon.  This was due in part to continued quality moisture return from the Gulf.

SPC Products:  SWO Day 1 Graphics:  Risk Area - Tornado Prob - Damaging Wind Prob - Hail Prob - Storm Plot - LSRs - Mesoscale Discussions - Watch - Misc Text - Tornado Warnings
Surface Maps:  Temperature - Dewpoint - Wind Speed - CAPE - LI
Soundings:  18z OUN - ARPS Sounding
Mesoeta 00z Initialization:  Surface Pressure 850mb Temperatures - 850mb Dewpoints - 850mb Windspeed - 850mb Relative Humidity - 850mb Vertical Velocity - 700mb Wind - 700mb Temperatures - 700mb Relative Humidity - 500mb Vertical Velocity - 500mb Temperature - 500mb Vorticity - 500mb Wind  - 500mb Relative Humidity - 250mb Relative Humidity - 250mb Wind

The Chase -

Team 1 -  Andy Wallace, David Underwood, Rob Ferguson, and Putnam Reiter
Miles Driven -  180
Departure Time -  14:30
Return Time -  19:00

We left Oklahoma City and headed south on I-44.  Our intention was to place ourselves in the middle of our target region.  We stopped at the McDonald's just north of Chickasha on I-44.  We stayed there for about 30 minutes watching the clouds.  Cumulus was the main cloud type, although two areas of enhanced CU were noted.  One area was north near Tuttle and the other one was just to our south.  The main question was which one would break the cap.  We got word that the Tuttle storm had developed a 30dbz core and appeared to have gotten through the cap.  Additionally, the chase crew noted rapid growth to the towering cumulus to our north.  We started back north on I-44 towards Oklahoma City.  We got word that the storm had a 50dbz core.  This was the one, so we got going.  Approaching Oklahoma City we got radar data back and were able to review the setup.

The storm had a 60dbz core and a severe thunderstorm warning by this time.  We noted that the storm was north of I-40 near Yukon and was moving northeast at 15-20mph.  We continued north into Oklahoma City on I-44.  As we got north of Will Rogers Airport we got storm scale features.  The storm had good structure, but no lowerings.  The time was around 16:10 CDT and rush hour was a big concern.  We drove north of I-40 to NW 10th (Fair Park).  Stopping here, we monitored the storm.  A tornado warning was issued for this area based on radar indications.  Our view had little in the way of wall cloud or funnel activity.

After fighting radar for a while, we finally got a view.  The reflectivity data showed that the strongest part of the storm was near I-44 and Hefner Parkway.  Additionally, surface observations indicated a break between the main rain core and closer features.  Assuming a northeast movement, we decided to drift north on I-44.  As we entered I-44 Rob noted rotation to our northwest.  We kept going to NW 36th at my suggestion.  Exiting here, partly due to traffic as everyone was stopped, we sat near the exit ramp long enough to see definite rotation almost on top of us.  We evacuated east to May Ave and then south about 1/2 mile.  Stopping for a few minutes to regroup we noted that the rotation area was still quite close to us.  At this point we realized that the storm had not only turned east, it turned a little east-southeast.  We got south to NW 23rd street (Rob's original suggestion) and went east.  The storm's structure continued to rapidly improve along with wall cloud and funnel activity.  We drove on east along NW 23rd street during rush hour traffic, luckily the storm was moving about 20mph.

Our view was obscured by buildings and contrast, we were west-southwest of the circulation area.  We drove past Lincoln Ave into eastern Oklahoma City.  The storm rapidly became better organized and a condensation funnel developed.  Eventually the funnel was lower than the buildings.  We did not call it a tornado since we could not see surface contact.  As we got close to NE 23rd and MLK (looking to our northeast about 2-3 miles) the four of us saw black material wrap counter-clockwise and up into the circulation.  Seeing this and hearing another report of a tornado, we called it a tornado.  The black material we believe resulted from a brief touchdown and was debris or dirt.  It was very brief and lasted only a few seconds.

Not sure of storm motion and knowing it was getting away from us, we drove north on MLK to NE 36th.  Turning east on NE 36th we went to I-35 and decided to turn back south.  While on NE 36th the rear-flank downdraft hit us and the storm rain-wrapped the circulation area.  We drove back south to NE 23rd (also HWY 62) and went east.  As we continued east we had no features and eventually realized that the storm had lost much of its rotation features.  Getting past Sooner Road we noted several other chasers turning around.  Looking at radar we saw a line of supercells extending across much of the state.  It appeared to us that the storms were too close to each other for tornado potential.  Additionally information from Norman NWS and SPC further confirmed this analysis.

We did decide to go intercept some storms farther south.  So, we turned south from Harrah onto HWY 270 (also Harrah Road).  About this time we got into some heavy rainfall and moderate hail.  We definitely got quarter sized hail and maybe some golfball.  The hail wasn't too big as we didn't lose any of our wind cups.  Clearing this storm, we drove on south to I-40 and went east to HWY 177, just west of Shawnee.  We drove south to Tecumseh and took another look at radar.  While the storms remained severe we figured that the tornado potential was pretty low.  At this point we called the chase and headed back home.

Thanks to Ray for radar support.

Lessons Learned -

-  Storm motion, storm motion, and did I mention...storm motion!  This almost got us hosed.  We know that supercells may turn right.  This one did so and we go catch in a bad spot.  However, our contingency plan got us to safety.
-  RADAR data are not essential once on a storm.  We spent too much time trying to get data once back in OKC.

Multimedia -

Stills:

-  Oklahoma City Storm, looking west from Fair Park (NW 10th and I-44).  Pic 1, Pic 2.  Funnel, looking east from NW 23rd and Walker.  Pic 1.  Funnel, looking north from NW 23rd and Broadway.  Pic 1.  Funnel (tornado?), looking northeast from NE 23rd and MLK.  Pic 1, Pic 2
-  Hail leftover from the Oklahoma City storm, pictures taken at 9:00pm, over four hours after the storm passed. 
Pic 1, Pic 2.
-  Hail from the Oklahoma City storm, about an hour after it passed.  Pic 1, Pic 2, Pic 3, Pic 4 Courtesy Ray Hardy.

Animated GIF's (continuously loop):

Oklahoma City WSR-88D (RADAR) from early afternoon until late evening.
Chase Cam

Encounters -

Engaged Storm:  NW 10th and I-44 in Oklahoma City
Tornado:  Maybe - See Note 1
Funnel:  Yes
Hail (larger than 0.75 inches):  Yes - in Harrah - Golfball
Wall Cloud:  Yes
Wind (above 57.4 mph):  Possibly, but not measured.

Notes:

1.  There is some question regarding if a tornado occurred within Oklahoma City.  We cannot say a tornado occurred, since we could not see the surface.  However, seeing dark material wrap up in the funnel is certainly indicative of a tornado.  It was very brief and you had to be watching it.  A few OKC TV stations stated that no tornadic activity occurred.  Unless a small damage area can be found, that's how this one will go down.  We stand behind our report, given the conditions.  It is a tough line to walk, but we didn't scream large tornado at night when we couldn't even see a funnel (reference May 9, 2003, OKC media coverage).  Here we had a funnel very close to the ground, in daylight, and material that certainly looked like debris rising into the circulation.

2.  People are idiots!  Tornado sirens mean get to shelter, not grab your beer and walk outside.  The latter is exactly what we witnessed at NW 30th and May Ave.  Not only that  several vehicles came up to us to find out what was occurring.  The video of this episode will certainly be interesting.  Oklahoma City policy is to activate the warning sirens when a tornado warning is issued for Oklahoma County, this occurred when the first warning was issued, a good 15 minutes before we got to NW 30th and May.

 
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